NRF Forecasts

Economic forecast
Economic forecast 2019

NRF forecasts retail sales during 2019 will increase between 3.8 percent and 4.4 percent to more than $3.8 trillion despite threats from an ongoing trade war, the volatile stock market and the effects of the government shutdown.

A blue door with a holiday wreath hanging
Holiday forecast 2018

Thanks to a healthy economy and strong consumer confidence, NRF expects holiday retail sales in November and December to increase between 4.3 and 4.8 percent over 2017 for a total of $717.45 billion to $720.89 billion.


Latest news

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March retail sales gains are ‘very encouraging’
March retail sales as defined by NRF were up one percent month-over-month and 0.8 percent year over year.
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Retail imports rising again as summer approaches
Retail imports should total 1.75 million containers in April, up 6.9 percent from 2018.
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Retail employment dropped in March but overall job gains point to economic growth
Retail employment in March was down by 11,700 jobs from February and down 47,400 jobs year-over-year.
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