NRF Forecasts

Economic forecast
 
Economic forecast 2019

NRF forecasts retail sales during 2019 will increase between 3.8 percent and 4.4 percent to more than $3.8 trillion despite threats from an ongoing trade war, the volatile stock market and the effects of the government shutdown.

 
A blue door with a holiday wreath hanging
Holiday forecast 2018

Thanks to a healthy economy and strong consumer confidence, NRF expects holiday retail sales in November and December to increase between 4.3 and 4.8 percent over 2017 for a total of $717.45 billion to $720.89 billion.

 

Latest news

 
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July retail sales show strong gains but stock market and tariffs could lead to caution in consumer spending
Retail sales were up 0.9 percent in July from June and up 5.6 percent year-over-year.
 
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Retailers respond to tariff delay ahead of holiday season
Uncertainty for U.S. businesses continues, and tariffs taking effect Sept. 1 will result in higher costs for consumers.
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Retail store numbers continue to grow
Data shows more retailers are opening stores than closing them.
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